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David G. Tatman's avatar

Remember that the British government would not grant actual UK passports to Hong Kong residents desiring them in the years before the 1997 retrocession of Hong Kong to the Peoples Republic of China. The government of Britain actively tried to keep Hong Kongers, some of the most productive people on the planet, from moving to the UK. But that same government has swung the doors wide open for "refugees" from Africa and the Islamic world. Hmmnnn. Sudan gained independence from UK administration in 1956 - full independence. So, an individual would have to be about 71 years old to even have been an infant in arms in Sudan under British colonial rule. You've got to kind of wonder about the "refugee" status claims. The UK has no reason to be granting that to Sudanese. For that matter, Pakistan became independent from the UK in 1949.

The UK as a surveillance state (and it is the most heavily surveilled place in the world, exceeding even China, and that's saying a lot), can get away with a very thin line of coppers, most of them NOT armed police, only because the general population still treats the Bobbies with a modicum of respect. When that respect is gone, conditions may change (towards the violent end) far faster than most expect possible. If guns are not available, (and it is anyone's guess how many are hidden away in the British Isles, albeit illegally,) it's fire and the sword, and the UK is awash in literal swords, many of which have blood stained histories of their own. And there is still a strong archery tradition there as well. Bodkin points were developed well over a millennia ago to penetrate armor, and even modern aramid fabric "cut proof" and "bullet proof" vests can be penetrated fairly easily by a bodkin pointed arrow. (Solid plate Level IV rifle armor is a different story of course.) But in a street fight between a Chinese box cutter or a kitchen knife and a Sheffield steel sword, it doesn't take Polymarket to predict the probable winner. Point is, guns are not the be all and end all - willingness to take up even traditional arms and kill is what makes the difference. It's one thing for grown men to abuse teenage girls. It's a far different thing to face a pissed off armed group of men intent on ending your life.

Nor does it take a majority to win a civil war. In fact, a solid three percent willing to take up arms and drive the points home has proven successful more often than not. Sad times. I fear the bloodshed has only just begun.

Christopher's Eclectic as Hell's avatar

Good post, as usual. I guess I'm less optimistic than you are; I really don't see how any of this can be resolved without bloodshed. But I hope I'm wrong and you're right. Ugly, ugly, ugly.

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